If you were under the impression that the near-twenty-year “pause” in global warming raised, I don’t know, a few questions about the validity of climate change predictions—well, Lindsay Abrams wants you to stop it right away:
The so-called 15-year “pause” in global warming is a climate denier myth that refuses to die, and it’s received a fresh take-down courtesy of a study published by McGill Univeristy physics professor Shaun Lovejoy…
Lovejoy’s new study concludes that there has been a natural cooling fluctuation of about 0.28 to 0.37 degrees Celsius since 1998 — a pattern that is in line with variations that occur historically every 20 to 50 years, according to the analysis. “We find many examples of these variations in pre-industrial temperature reconstructions” based on proxies such as tree rings, ice cores, and lake sediment, Lovejoy says. “Being based on climate records, this approach avoids any biases that might affect the sophisticated computer models that are commonly used for understanding global warming.”
Oh, good—the study avoids the standard bias-laden crackpot predictions under which climate science normally labors. Anyway, Abrams appears to be desperately looking for a zinger, so someone should let her down easy: the salient feature of the global warming “pause” is not what caused it, but that it was entirely unforeseen. That is to say, the pause eluded the legions of super-smart climate scientists in which we are placing all of our environmental policy hopes: for all its sneering pronouncements regarding “SCIENCE,” the global warming crowd utterly failed to anticipate almost two decades of interruption in, you know, global warming. There’s nothing really wrong with making an inaccurate scientific model, of course—such things happen in science all the time—but if climate scientists were unable to predict something as significant as nearly twenty warming-free years, it’s probably a sign that we should take everything else they say with at least a grain of salt, and we should regard the rest of their furious doom-mongering predictions with a healthy skepticism.